Iran Sent Trump a 10-Point Peace Plan. His Response Was 2 Words.

And then, quietly, oil markets moved.

Reports on X suggested a US-Iran ceasefire framework — tied to Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz — sent oil prices falling roughly **8% in a single session**, according to posts from financial accounts tracking the Polymarket prediction markets.

That's not a small number. The Strait of Hormuz is the single most important oil chokepoint on Earth. Roughly 20% of global oil supply passes through it every day.

If it opens, energy prices fall. If it stays closed — or if military strikes escalate — you pay more for gas, for groceries, for everything.

So while diplomats trade frameworks and bombers circle, you're watching your cost of living hang in the balance.

Meanwhile, back in Washington, a completely different kind of bombshell dropped.

**DOGE released seven years of Medicaid spending data** — every dollar, publicly searchable, from 2018 to 2024 — and dared the American public to go looking for fraud [21].

Newsmax reported the release, which quickly became one of the most-discussed stories of the night.

The move is classic Elon Musk playbook: don't just claim there's fraud, hand the receipts to the public and let them find it themselves.

DOGE has previously claimed there could be **up to $1 trillion** in federal spending fraud [24], a figure that critics have disputed and fact-checkers have called unverified.

But now the raw data is public. Anyone with a laptop can start digging.

The political implications are significant. Democrats who have resisted DOGE's mission are now in an awkward position: if the data shows serious irregularities, that's a story. If it doesn't, that's also a story.

Either way, **Medicaid — which covers 90 million Americans** — just became the next political battlefield.

On the economic front, Wall Street is not having a good week, and it showed [74].

Reports of mass layoffs and surging prices circulated widely on X. Financial commentators pointed to Trump's tariff regime as the driving force, while supporters argued the tariffs are working exactly as intended, forcing foreign nations to negotiate [79].

The Federal Reserve's independence is also back in the news. Bloomberg sources, cited in posts on X, reported that the **Trump administration is reviewing ways to extend its influence over the Fed's 12 regional banks** — going beyond the usual personnel appointments [79].

That's a significant escalation. The regional Federal Reserve banks are supposed to be insulated from political pressure. If the administration finds a legal path to influence them, it reshapes how interest rates — and your mortgage — get set.

The crypto market is feeling all of this at once.

Bitcoin held above **$74,000** today [85], a sign that some investors are treating it as a hedge against geopolitical and economic chaos. But the broader crypto market cap fell about 4.2% in 24 hours, with $106.9 billion in daily trading volume [as reported by financial accounts on X].

The Crypto CLARITY Act — the biggest digital asset regulation bill in US history — remains in a Senate standoff over stablecoin yield provisions [88].

So here's where tonight leaves you.

Iran made a move. Trump said he can't comment. Bombers are in the air. Oil prices swung 8%. Medicaid data just went public. The Fed's independence is being tested. And Bitcoin is quietly hovering above $74,000 like a life raft.

This is not a slow news night.

**Every one of these stories connects to a single question**: how much disruption can the system absorb before something gives?

We'll find out soon enough.

Stay tuned.

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